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Why The Celtics Should Be Worried About Artest On Pierce

Ron Artest is a really good defender.  In fact, we have talked about his ability to defend the basketball here in the past.  People are talking about this matchup, and rightfully so, but I think they talking about it for the wrong reasons.  I am not worried about this matchup for the first 47 minutes of the game.  Pierce is going to get his buckets, and if the Lakers take him away, others (like Ray Allen, Rajon Rondo, and Kevin Garnett) are going to be able to get their points through Doc Rivers’ sets and such.

What I am worried about is when the Celtics absolutely need a bucket, and when they need a bucket late in the game they go to Pierce and let him work.

They can’t do that with Ron Artest covering him.  We have the proof.  Remember the game earlier in the year when the Lakers beat the Celtics?  Let’s look at the Celtics final two possessions:

The play above is basically the same play as the one from the Heat game, except for 1 thing.  The Celtics need to bring a screener.  This is a huge difference because now there are two defenders in Pierce’s area.  Fisher’s help also forces Pierce into taking an indirect route to his sweet spot.  Ron Artest gets back in time and gets his body into Pierce (which is something the Heat defender doesn’t do), drawing the offensive foul.

Here, the Celtics run another pick for Pierce, but this time it is a pick and pop that is well defended by the Lakers.  The Celtics run this play a ton, but you never see it late in games, as they are much more comfortable getting the ball in Pierce’s hands late.  Ron Artest on Paul Pierce forces the Celtics to do stuff they aren’t comfortable doing late in games.

  • zebulon
    They run a pick-roll or pick-pop at the end of the game with regularity. It's almost always with pierce as the ball handler, and either KG or Ray setting the screen.

    It's actually a more efficient play than a Pierce (according to Synergy numbers), so your analysis that artest causes the celtics to abandon the iso is actually a net positive for the celtics.

    Pretty weak analysis from someone who usually has great insight.
  • Good stuff man, except you are wrong about that last play they ran against the Lakers. They run it in late game situations plenty, in fact I think you analyzed it a few weeks back since they ran it against the Magic at the end of game 4, Pierce just wasn't able to get the pass off to Allen.
  • james
    yea this is the worst matchup for us this series i think. seeing how a having a larger and more physical defender can effect pierces offense with lebron this year, its tough to picture him being too much more productive against a better defender in artest. i'd say pierce will only average 15 points a game this series because of that, and clutch shots will be severely hampered too (although i do think the offensive foul here is something pierce has god called for a few times this year and is more his own fault and not having as fast feet as he used to, as the defenders skill).
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